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Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.Japan's semiconductor sector rose collectively, with ADVANTEST up nearly 5%, DISCO up over 2% and Renesas Electronics up over 1%.CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025: investment opportunities may be easy first and then difficult. When CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025, it said that it is expected that the stock market and policy expectations will still be the short-term main drivers of the stock price of the sector. Combined with the low profit base and the possible window period, the investment opportunities in the industry may be easy first and then difficult: the short-term stock market will rise sharply or reproduce the general market, and the investment logic will return to long-term contradictions such as interest rate trends after emotional calm.

Google executives: Search for artificial intelligence is the biggest bet, with an estimated investment of 50 billion yuan in 2024. ruth porat, president and chief investment officer of Google, revealed at a conference that Google's biggest bet is to apply artificial intelligence to search business. Despite the problems of technical competition and artificial intelligence model, Google is still firmly pushing forward this strategy. Polat emphasized that integrating artificial intelligence into search business is Google's current core strategy. Google has introduced an overview of AI into the search tool, added advertisements to it, and introduced shopping advertisements to Google Lens. Despite the existence of false or misleading results such as artificial intelligence illusion, Google is still optimistic about the development potential of artificial intelligence in the search field. In addition to the search business, Polat also pointed out that Google Cloud is another important investment of the company. When answering a question about whether Google's investment cost in artificial intelligence will follow the industry trend, Polat said that artificial intelligence represents "an opportunity for generations". She revealed that Google plans to spend $50 billion on chips, data centers and other capital expenditures in 2024, but stressed that Google will make careful bets based on the results.Under the interest rate cut cycle, the scale of domestic dollar wealth management doubled compared with the same period of last year. Although the Fed's expectation of continuing to cut interest rates is strong, the ability of domestic dollar wealth management products to "absorb gold" is still strong. Straight flush data shows that since January 2024, there are 756 newly established wealth management products with the word "USD". Among them, 30 new wealth management products with the word "USD" have been established since November, and most of them are fixed-income products. As of December 9, the scale of US dollar financial management reached 282 billion yuan, which has doubled compared with the scale of 140.4 billion yuan in December last year. Market analysts believe that although the Fed has entered the interest rate cut cycle, under the influence of many complicated factors, the US dollar still has support, and the attractiveness of US dollar wealth management products to investors is still there in the short term. However, investors also need to pay attention to market risk and exchange rate fluctuation risk, and rationally allocate related assets. (21st century business herald)South Korean President Yin Xiyue: The purpose of the opposition's impeachment is to evade the legal responsibility of its leader Li Zaiming by holding an early general election.

South Korean President Yin Xiyue: The opposition party does not recognize the president.Hong Kong suspended the import of poultry meat and poultry products from Ehime Prefecture, Japan. On December 11th, the Center for Food Safety of the Food and Environmental Hygiene Department of Hong Kong announced that in response to the notification from the Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries of Japan that highly pathogenic H5 avian influenza broke out in Ehime Prefecture, Japan, the Center immediately instructed the industry to suspend the import of poultry meat and poultry products (including eggs) from this area to protect public health in Hong Kong. A spokesman for the Centre said that according to the information of the Census and Statistics Department, Hong Kong imported about 2,000 metric tons of frozen poultry meat and 227.42 million eggs from Japan in the first nine months of this year. The spokesman said: "The Center has contacted the Japanese authorities on the incident and will continue to pay close attention to the news of the outbreak of avian influenza issued by the World Organization for Animal Health and relevant authorities, and take appropriate actions in response to the development of the local epidemic."Offshore RMB and Australian dollar rose slightly. Affected by the news, USD/offshore RMB fell 0.1% to 7.2696. AUD/USD rose 0.2% to 0.6381. A foreign exchange trader in Asia said that the small leveraged account that shorted AUD/USD on Wednesday also closed its position. NZD/USD rose 0.1% to 0.5792.